Canada Prairies Prognosticator

In this edition to the Canadian Prairies Agricultural Weather Prognosticator there is an updated late July weather forecast and a new look at August which is now drier and warmer than previously suggested. This issue also provides an update on rainfall in the first half of July and a new look at the potential for cold weather in early September from the 45-day cycle. A quick look at soil moisture from selected areas around the world is included in this report along with special stories regarding Europe, Australia and the former Soviet Union.

Canada's Prairies are far from out of trouble this year. Dryness is still a serious problem in eastern and some southern parts of the region as well as in the Peace River Region. This prognosticator is probably too bullish on rain. The outlook tries to reflect the potential for localized areas of beneficial moisture, but it is likely too wet in general. A high pressure ridge is expected over the Prairies late in the first week of July and on into the second week. Heat and dryness will return crop moisture stress in many areas that were relieved in June and worsen conditions in areas that missed the rain. A mid-month update may reduce rain in many areas, but an assessment of the high pressure ridge expected in the second week of July is needed first. Inside this report you will also find updated soil moisture maps for various places around the world and special reports on the U.S., Australia and South America.

Inside this edition to the Canadian Prairies Agricultural Weather Prognosticator is a detailed discussion of weather expected in the next few weeks. An updated 2-week May and June outlook is provided with much explanation as to why we are not likely to see a broad-based drought pattern in 2025. Cooling in the eastern Prairies this weekend will bring some frost and freezes, although damage potentials are low. This prognosticator also presents a special update on China.