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El Nino May Not Arrive As Quickly As Some Models Suggest

Kansas City, January 13 (World Weather Inc.) – La Nina continues in place across the eastern equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean and is likely to linger a little while longer. Many computer forecast models have been suggesting that the event will dissipate in the next several weeks and speculation has begun over the possible development of El Nino. World Weather, Inc. believes the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) CFSv2 ENSO model is being too aggressive with a forecast of El Nino by the end of spring or early summer. A more likely solution is neutral ENSO conditions during spring and early summer and a gradual evolution toward El Nino late in the third quarter or more likely in the fourth quarter of this calendar year.