Potential Record Setting El Nino May Be Misleading
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November Weather Leaves West Texas Water Supply Low
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Bitter Cold Weather Not A Concern For Northern U.S. Plains
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Florida Citrus Still Not Facing Serious Threat From Cold
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Next Week’s Cold Originates In Canada Not Arctic
By Drew Lerner
A large cutoff low pressure center is expected to evolve briefly over the Midwest, Delta and southeastern states for a while late this weekend and early next week. The cold air originates in Canada’s Prairies and not the arctic and the airmass temperatures, although cold, are not cold enough to induce a serious freeze that would harm winter crops or Florida citrus and sugarcane. Considerable cloudiness and frequent bouts of snow will accompany the cold into the Midwest, Tennessee River Basin and interior southeastern states. The cloudiness and precipitation will help hold temperatures up and when the sky finally clears off and the winds turn light most of the coldest air will have already abated from the region resulting in less intensive cold that should not seriously harm the majority of crops.
The situation needs to be closely monitored because if a better developed surface high pressure center evolves when the coldest air is over the Midwest and southeastern states the temperatures will drop more precipitously resulting in a risk to unprotected winter wheat and to Florida citrus and sugarcane.
There will still be a risk of frost and freezes in Florida during mid- to late-week next week, but some of the data implies readings would not be cold enough for a long enough period of time to induce permanent crop damage. Similarly, the current forecast provides enough snow in the lower Midwest during the coldest days to protect winter wheat that is presently snow free and vulnerable to extreme low temperatures.
February 5, 2016
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Florida Citrus, Sugarcane Face Cold Week
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Tropical Weather Outlook — Danielle Dissipates Over East-Central Mexico
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1980 Trend Suggests U.S. Midwest August Heat Relief
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Tropical Storm Darby May Influence Hawaii
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Flooding In Louisiana Damages Rice, Sugarcane; Rain To Shift To Lower Midwest
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Lower U.S. Midwest Rainfall Becomes Excessive; More To Come
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U.S. Late August Weather Unlikely To Veer From Trend
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Tropical Storm Formation In Atlantic Of Little Concern
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Tropical Storm Nicole To Help Matthew Impact U.S.
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California Snowpack Below Normal For This Time Of Year
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California Snowpack Set To Increase Significantly
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World Cotton Weather For January 5, 2017
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World Rice Weather: Mercosur Receives Excessive Rain
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World Wheat Weather; U.S. Crops To Escape Permanent Damage From Cold
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Nor’easter To Impact Much of the Northeastern United States
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West U.S. Corn Belt Weather Leaves Dry Pockets For August
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World Cotton Weather; West Texas Braces For Big Rain
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Hurricane Maria To Move Close To North Carolina
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World Wheat Weather: Australia Crop Adversities May Be Over
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October May Perpetuate Dryness In Parts of U.S. Midwest
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Florida Citrus Serious Freeze Potential Not Ideal
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Serious Central Florida Citrus Freeze Damage Not Likely
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Temperatures To Trend Above Avg. In Many U.S. Crop Areas
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World Cotton Weather: Dryness In Australia, South Africa And Argentina
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Updated 96-Hour Precipitation and Temperature Maps for Apr. 2, 2018
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Beneficial, But Erratic Central U.S. Plains Weekend Rain – West Texas Stays Dry
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World Oilseeds Weather For April 20, 2018
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Subtropical Storm Alberto Forms Near Yucatan
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World Cotton Weather For July 6
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Wet Weekend In Carolinas, South Texas And NE Minnesota
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Updated 24-Hour North and South America Rainfall and Temperature Maps for Jan. 11, 2019
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Weekly Citrus Weather For January 15, 2019
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California Mountain Snowpack Improving
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Weekly Citrus Weather For February 12, 2019
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World Wheat Weather: Big Crops In Many Areas; North Africa To Get Rain
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Central U.S. Midwest Drying Apparently Just Temporary
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Tropical Atlantic To Be Active With Cyclones Again This Year
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UPDATED: Central N. America Storm Threatens Crops, Livestock, Travel
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Flooding Rain U.S. Delta, To SE Louisiana And Alabama; More Rain This Week
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World Oilseeds Weather: Winter Rapeseed In Ukraine, China Not Well Established
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World Cotton Weather For December 11, 2019
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Late Week U.S. Storm To Impact Crops, Travel and Livestock
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World Oilseed Weather: Northern Hemisphere Winter Crop Potential Improves
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N. America Weather To Change In Second Half Of Spring
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World Wheat Weather Assessment For April 14, 2020
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Cold U.S. Plains Weather Has Low Impact On Wheat
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North Dakota To Saskatchewan Frost To Shift East Tonight
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Hot Weather To Stress Central, SW U.S. Plains Livestock, Crops
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SW U.S. Plains Impressive Heat To Expand
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World Oilseeds Weather: Europe, Black Sea Areas Still Battling Dryness; U.S. Expecting Rain
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U.S. Livestock Stress To Return Later This Week
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Next Week’s U.S. Cold Will Be Impressive, but How Damaging?
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SE U.S. Cotton May Be Subjected To Heavy Rain Next Week (Due To Caribbean Sea Tropical System)
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Weekly Citrus Weather For Tuesday, November 3, 2020
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U.S. Winter Wheat Damage From Cold Should Be Minimal
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Past Weather Experience Is Important For Forecasting
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U.S. Cold Surge Next Week Should Not Seriously Damage Wheat
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U.S. Weekend Freezes Induce No Permanent Harm To Wheat
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U.S. Severe Weather Outbreak Next Week; Prepare Now
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European Mid-Day Model Run Changes and Comparison to GFS
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Central, East U.S. Corn Belt To Get Needed Rain: Watch The Plains, West Corn Belt
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Tropical Storm Wanda To Bring Rain To The U.K. Early Next Week
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July 23, 2015
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