Drew Lerner, Author at World Weather

Canadian Prairies Agricultural Weather Prognosticator For Friday, May 29, 2026

Inside this edition of the Canadian Prairies Agricultural Weather Prognosticator there is an editorial comment about “super” El Nino and how the media has blown the coming El Nino event way out of proportion. The event will be a threat to southern Asia, Australia and central Africa as well as a few other areas, but Canada’s Prairies has no statistical evidence of serious anomalous weather during the summer of a developing El Nino no matter how strong or weak is is. An updated outlook for June and July and August is provided in this newsletter along with a quick assessment of soil moisture in key crop areas around the world. There are also two articles in this prognosticator regarding the weather across the Prairies during May and the coming weather in June. Two other special reports are in this issue; including an update on European soil moisture and the drying that is occurring in France and an update on Australia’s better than expected autumn rainfall that has ensured a good start to the 2026 wheat, barley, canola and pulse growing season.

U.S. June Weather Outlook Perpetuates Some Midwest Drying

Kansas City, May 29 (World Weather Inc.) – Another week has come and gone across the U.S. Midwest with the region from northeastern Missouri and southeastern Iowa to southeastern Wisconsin getting little to no rain. The rain that fell across parts of Illinois and northwestern Indiana was also quite limited while southwestern Michigan received some welcome rain last weekend. As noted a week ago, the corridor from northeastern Missouri and southeastern Iowa to Michigan has had a tough time getting normal rainfall in recent weeks and that region will continue to dry down for at least another week. Areas to the east, from Michigan to the Ohio River Valley, may experience below normal precipitation into mid-June. June Weather in the Great Plains, Delta and southeastern states should occur routinely for the benefit of many crops.

Tropical Storm Jangmi Intensifies Over Philippine Sea

Kansas City, May 29 (World Weather Inc.) – Tropical Storm Jangmi continues to intensify over the open Philippine Sea. At 1500 UTC, maximum sustained winds were at 50 mph and moving west-northwest at 14 mph. Jangmi is currently expected to peak with wind speeds near 90 mph this weekend over the open ocean, making it equivalent to a strong category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The storm will impact the Ryukyu Islands with maximum sustained wind speeds between 70 and 85 mph. Heavy rainfall, a storm surge, and high wind speeds will accompany the storm. Jangmi will gradually weaken over the course of next week, but will graze the southern coasts of Kyushu, Shikoku, and Honshu, bringing adverse conditions as well. A close watch on Jangmi will be needed for any changes in the projected track and for those with interests in Japan.

Subsoil Moisture

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