Dryness In Brazil Not As Anomalous As First Glance

Kansas City, August 30 (World Weather Inc.) – Brazil is finishing out its annual dry season. Early season soybean and corn areas are dry in center west and parts of center south Brazil. That should not come as a shock since it is nearly always dry at this time of year. There is a tendency for forecasters and analysts to look at percentage of normal rainfall charts for the winter dry season and become alarmed by the very low percentage of normal rainfall recorded. Looking into the situation further reveals that “normal” rainfall is not very much at this time of year and there is rarely enough rain during the dry season to bolster soil moisture. Comparing rainfall to normal can enlighten the situation. As long as seasonal rains begin normally in late September and October the drier bias today will have no bearing on future crop performance. Southern Brazil will see the greatest deviation from normal rainfall in the next two weeks, but the moisture profile there is just fine today.

West Europe Rain To Benefit Late-Season Crops; SE Still Dry

Kansas City, August 29 (World Weather Inc.) – Dryness persists across southeastern Europe and much of Ukraine. Drier and warmer-biased conditions in recent weeks continued to hurt production potentials for the spring grains, oilseeds, and other crops produced this time of year. Many crops are maturing early and getting ready for harvest, further reducing yield potentials. Eastern Europe will remain drier biased during the coming week and development conditions remain less than favorable to poor across the Balkans region. Many areas in France and northeastern Germany also trended too dry to support favorable late-season growth; although, Western Europe will receive sufficient rainfall during the coming week to ease dryness and induce some better late-season crop growth and development. Some of the rain may slow maturation and early harvesting.